Both Cactaceae

Cochemiea dioica vs Mammillaria heyderi

These two are not on this page because a keyword tool suggested them. They are here because our own identification model genuinely mistook one for the other, on real photographs, 5 times. We publish the rate, and then we tell you what actually separates them.

Confused 5x by our model Method published

Side by sidefigs. a and b

Cochemiea dioica, photographed by James C. Davis
fig. a James C. Davis, CC BY-SA 4.0

Cochemiea dioica

Peninsular fishhook cactus
Mammillaria heyderi, photographed by Center for Urban Ecology
fig. b Center for Urban Ecology, CC0 1.0

Mammillaria heyderi

little nipple cactus

How often our model gets it wrong measured, not estimated

When the plant was The model said How often
Cochemiea dioica Mammillaria heyderi 2 of 19 (11%)
Mammillaria heyderi Cochemiea dioica 3 of 20 (15%)

The confusion is asymmetric, which is common and usually informative: it means one of these has a character the other lacks, rather than the two simply looking alike.

Measured on 38,299 openly licensed, research-grade photographs. Full method and dataset.

What actually separates themon the record

Family Both Cactaceae. The family does not separate them.
Genus Cochemiea versus Mammillaria.
Flowering Peaks in March versus March. Timing does not separate them. (n = 1,702 and 172.)

What we do not have yet: the diagnostic morphological character that a botanist would key on, from a source we can cite. We are not going to invent one. Until we have it, this page tells you the two are genuinely confusable, how often, and what the taxonomy and the flowering data do and do not settle.

Both recordsfull pages